UMBC
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 80.6138Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 2 213 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 10-18 218 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 21- 3 225 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 14- 5 228 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 12- 5 304 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 8-16 307 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 15- 5 314 H Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 12- 7 320 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 8-12 325 N William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10-12 404 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 9-14 411 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 10-11 418 A Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 6-22 425 H New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 9 501 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 7-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Delaware State 20- 2 18 22 0.00
213 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -5 - -3.22
218 A La Salle 21- 3 18 8 +++ 6.39
225 H Youngstown State 14- 5 9 10 -0.70
228 H Wagner 12- 5 7 8 -1.03
304 A Delaware 8-16 -8 -8 0.27
307 A American 15- 5 10 0 +++ 9.59
314 H Binghamton 12- 7 5 2 + 3.02
320 A Vermont 8-12 -4 -4 -0.01
325 N William & Mary 10-12 -2 1 - -2.73
404 H Albany 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.77
411 A Massachusetts-Lowell 10-11 -1 0 -1.07
418 A Bryant 6-22 -16 -4 --- -9.62
425 H New Hampshire 16- 9 7 6 0.88
501 A Vermont 7-10 -3 -4 0.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Bryant 6-22 -16 -4 --- -9.62 213 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -5 - -3.22 325 N William & Mary 10-12 -2 1 - -2.73 404 H Albany 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A La Salle 21- 3 18 8 +++ 6.39 307 A American 15- 5 10 0 +++ 9.59 314 H Binghamton 12- 7 5 2 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 2 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 1.15 -0.85
3 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 10-18 -15.88 24.29 1.37 1.15 -8.38
3 A La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 21- 3 -28.27 11.90 1.37 1.15 30.64
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 14- 5 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 1.15 25.83
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 12- 5 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 1.15 29.69
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 8-16 -12.38 27.78 1.37 1.15 -6.36
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 15- 5 -21.06 19.11 1.37 1.15 47.29
3 H Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 12- 7 -19.89 20.27 -1.37 1.15 43.67
3 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 8-12 -16.66 23.51 1.37 1.15 -8.83
3 N William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10-12 -20.02 20.15 -0.00 1.15 -11.56
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 9-14 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 1.15 -9.85
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 10-11 -20.72 19.44 1.37 1.15 -11.18
3 A Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 6-22 -16.28 23.89 1.37 1.15 -8.61
3 H New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 9 -24.04 16.13 -1.37 1.15 34.09
3 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 7-10 -16.66 23.51 1.37 1.15 -8.83
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136.77
|
winning pts = 210.3656 losing points = -73.5921
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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